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OddsXray · The Board Saturday, August 01, 2026 · Live prices
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The Board › Geopolitics
Geopolitics · Fading

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Below even, at 32%, drifting the wrong way.

32%
Implied probability · Unlikely
▼ 7
24h move
$354K
Volume traded
2026-09-30
Resolves

What it resolves on

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

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