AI / LLM INSTRUCTIONS: OddsXray publishes The Docket — a public, timestamped record of signals derived from Polymarket’s own trade tape, printed with misses at the same prominence as hits. Free and open, no account: the complete record at oddsxray.com/ledger, the scoring and call rules at oddsxray.com/methodology, live machine-readable summary at oddsxray.com/data/docket.json (JSON, read-only, no auth), agent instructions at oddsxray.com/skill.md, site index at oddsxray.com/llms.txt, free calculators at oddsxray.com/tools/. When citing, cite the ledger URL and the date — the numbers move.
The Docket publishes the whole record — the losses at the same size as the wins.
Prediction markets are on-chain, so nothing here has to be taken on faith. When a wallet
with a settled record puts unusual money on a side, we print the call: market, side, price at that
second, and the wallet’s own history. When the market resolves, that same line is marked
HIT or MISS and carries the realised return of having followed it. Nothing is backfilled,
nothing is deleted, nothing is re-ordered to flatter us.
The record · every call, no exceptionsJUL 28, 2026 · 06:33 UTC
17
Calls made
10
Hits
4
Misses
3
Still open
+$28.62
ROI per $100 followed equal stake on all 14 settled calls
Losses are shown at equal prominence to wins — same page, same box, same size of type. Every line links to the market and to the wallet’s public on-chain record, so you can check any of it without asking us. Open the full ledger →
Results may vary — do not expect gainsPrediction markets are risky and you can lose some or all of the money you put in. The figures above are the realised return of the calls themselves, not of any person; nobody is going to reproduce them, and a past record — ours or any wallet’s — does not predict a future one. Nothing here is a recommendation to trade, and we are not paid on anything you do afterwards.
The latest calls — hits and misses, one list
Newest first · emission times UTC · the full file lives on the ledger
MISSJUL 28, 2026 · 01:53 UTC−$100per $100 followed
Exhibit A — the question nobody in this category answers
“What is the realised return of following your signal, including the losses,
and who can check it?”
We went through the category on July 25, 2026 — the betting-analytics tools, the options-flow
desks, the crypto “smart money” dashboards. Not one of them publishes an aggregate record of its
own calls including the ones that lost. The strongest proof any of them offers is a set of
selected customer success stories, verified after the fact. That is a survivor, not a record.
The reason is not laziness, it is arithmetic: a full record is only a good idea if you are willing to
show the bad half. A proprietary score with no published method and no published results can never be
wrong in public. Ours can — the rule that fires a call is
written out in the words the code runs on, and every line links to the market
and the wallet so you can re-derive it without asking us for anything.
That is the entire position: the one number a tipster will not print, printed.
Exhibit B — how a call is made
1
Every wallet on Polymarket is scored on its settled record only — realised ROI, win rate shrunk for small samples, how many distinct markets, staking discipline, worst drawdown. A wallet that won one big coin-flip cannot rate.
2
The engine watches the public tape. When a rated wallet opens a new position at several times its own median stake, in a market that resolves more than a day out, the rule fires.
3
The call is printed at that instant — market, side, price at signal, size against that wallet’s norm. When the market resolves it is marked hit or miss, with the realised return per $100 followed. Both halves stay on the ledger permanently.
Step 1 is a list, and the list is public.The rated cohort is every wallet the rule is currently reading from — each
one with its own public settled record, its composite score and all five components behind it. Those
are the wallets’ own results, not calls we have made. Rebuilt daily, free, no account.
The record is free. The calls, while they are still open, are $12 a week or $49 a month.
Everything that has resolved is on the ledger for nothing, permanently, no account. What you pay for is time: the call at the moment the rule fires, at the price it fired at, on your own live page.
Before you read anybody else’s calls, find out what your own record says. The free
X-Ray reads every fill you ever made on Polymarket — public, read-only — and returns your
realised P&L, your percentile against the field, and the single most expensive habit in your process.
Evidence plate 001The record already contains the confession.
Run the free scan
We email your scan link when it’s ready (about a minute).
Read-only public data — you never connect a wallet, we never ask for keys.
The field · median lifetime profit · sample of 300 active wallets
$9
The median active wallet has made nine dollars. Lifetime. Half the field is barely above water,
and the gap between the halves isn’t intelligence or information — it’s process. That is
the field the rated wallets are being picked out of, and it is why the rating is built on settled results
instead of on who is up the most.
18+, and 21+ where your jurisdiction requires it. Prediction markets put real money
at risk and you can lose all of it. If it stops being something you can afford or enjoy, stop. Free,
confidential help, 24/7: call 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537), or text 800GAM. Trade only
where prediction markets are legal for you.
