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Vol. I · Archived editionThursday, July 16, 2026Archive
OddsXray
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Geopolitics · Flat

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Even money, near enough — 56%; nobody's pressing. It's all in the price.

56%
Implied probability · Toss-Up
—
24h move
$5.8M
Volume traded
2026-09-30
Resolves

What it resolves on

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

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