Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
The crowd's not sold: 5%, steady as she goes.
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
More in Geopolitics
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 308%
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?3%
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Ru72%
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?36%
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?18%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?10%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 202632%
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?12%
The Trader X-Ray
You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.
Paste your Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads your entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and writes the dossier: where your money actually comes from, the habits that bleed it, and the 90-day repair. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.
We email your scan link when it’s ready (about a minute).
The board and the day’s biggest movers, in your inbox each morning. Free.