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OddsXray · The Board Wednesday, August 19, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Geopolitics · Flat

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?

Not where the smart money's parked — 2% — flat on the day. It's all in the price.

2%
Implied probability · Long Shot
—
24h move
$1.0M
Volume traded
2026-08-22
Resolves

What it resolves on

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

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