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OddsXray · The Board Wednesday, August 12, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Geopolitics · Firming Fast

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

A genuine coin-flip — 56%; the money's piling in.

56%
Implied probability · Toss-Up
▲ 40
24h move
$81K
Volume traded
2026-12-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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