US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
The tape says 12% — a real reach — and collapsing, down 11.
What it resolves on
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
More in Geopolitics
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?10%
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?24%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?80%
- Iran leadership change by August 31?5%
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?8%
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?90%
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?34%
The Trader X-Ray
You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.
Paste your Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads your entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and writes the dossier: where your money actually comes from, the habits that bleed it, and the 90-day repair. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.
We email your scan link when it’s ready (about a minute).
The board and the day’s biggest movers, in your inbox each morning. Free.