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OddsXray · The Board Tuesday, August 18, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Geopolitics · Firming

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?

More 'no' than 'yes' — 30% — firming, up 8.

30%
Implied probability · Unlikely
▲ 8
24h move
$229K
Volume traded
2026-08-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between Oman and Iran.

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