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OddsXray · The Board Sunday, August 16, 2026 · Live prices
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The BoardGeopolitics
Geopolitics · Flat

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?

Few are buying this at 9%, and going nowhere.

9%
Implied probability · Long Shot
24h move
$71K
Volume traded
2026-10-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites.

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