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OddsXray · The Board Thursday, August 13, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Politics · Flat

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

The tape says 7% — a real reach, parked for now.

7%
Implied probability · Long Shot
—
24h move
$227K
Volume traded
2026-10-04
Resolves

What it resolves on

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.

If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

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