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OddsXray · The Board Monday, August 31, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Politics · Firming

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Tilted toward yes at 68% — firming, up 2.

68%
Implied probability · Likely
▲ 2
24h move
$8.2M
Volume traded
2026-12-09
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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