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OddsXray · The Board Thursday, August 13, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Politics · Firming

Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Too close to call — 49% — firming, up 6. Real money's behind it.

49%
Implied probability · Toss-Up
▲ 6
24h move
$145K
Volume traded
2027-06-30
Resolves

What it resolves on

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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