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OddsXray · The Board Saturday, August 01, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Politics · Firming

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Split down the middle at 45%; sentiment's improving.

45%
Implied probability · Toss-Up
▲ 2
24h move
$14.8M
Volume traded
2028-11-07
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

More in Politics

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