US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?
A bet the room mostly waves off — 5%; sentiment's cooling. Volume backs the move.
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, cessation, or suspension of the United States' offensive military action against Iran, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
More in Geopolitics
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?26%
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 202676%
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2013%
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?14%
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?10%
- Israel closes its airspace by July 24?6%
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?5%
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?20%
The Trader X-Ray
You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.
Paste your Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads your entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and writes the dossier: where your money actually comes from, the habits that bleed it, and the 90-day repair. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.
We email your scan link when it’s ready (about a minute).
The board and the day’s biggest movers, in your inbox each morning. Free.