Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Barely on the radar at 3% — off a touch, 6.
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
More in Geopolitics
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?30%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?90%
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 202673%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?64%
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?24%
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?3%
- Iran leadership change by July 31?5%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?80%
The Trader X-Ray
You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.
Paste your Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads your entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and writes the dossier: where your money actually comes from, the habits that bleed it, and the 90-day repair. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.
We email your scan link when it’s ready (about a minute).
The board and the day’s biggest movers, in your inbox each morning. Free.