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OddsXray · The Board Sunday, August 23, 2026 · Live prices
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The Board › Geopolitics
Geopolitics · Firming

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?

The crowd's not sold: 14% — slightly stronger today. Numbers don't sulk.

14%
Implied probability · Long Shot
▲ 8
24h move
$144K
Volume traded
2026-09-08
Resolves

What it resolves on

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

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