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OddsXray · The Board Tuesday, August 11, 2026 · Live prices
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The Board › Geopolitics
Geopolitics · Firming

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

The market's wary: 26%; sentiment's improving. That's the tape, not a take.

26%
Implied probability · Unlikely
▲ 2
24h move
$2.0M
Volume traded
2026-09-30
Resolves

What it resolves on

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

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