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OddsXray · The Board Tuesday, August 11, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Geopolitics · Flat

Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?

About as settled as it gets — 97%; the market's not budging.

97%
Implied probability · Near Lock
—
24h move
$246K
Volume traded
2026-09-17
Resolves

What it resolves on

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yabloko is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM Moscow time.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Russian authorities that prevents Yabloko from contesting the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections as a political party.

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