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OddsXray · The Board Monday, August 10, 2026 · Live prices
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The BoardGeopolitics
Geopolitics · Fading

Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?

A 50/50 in all but name β€” 59%, losing a little support.

59%
Implied probability · Toss-Up
▼ 6
24h move
$45K
Volume traded
2026-09-17
Resolves

What it resolves on

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yabloko is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM Moscow time.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Russian authorities that prevents Yabloko from contesting the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections as a political party.

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