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OddsXray · The Board Wednesday, August 05, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Politics · Firming Fast

Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Down to the formalities at 96% — somebody just moved it 31 points. Worth keeping an eye on.

96%
Implied probability · Near Lock
▲ 31
24h move
$264K
Volume traded
2026-08-04
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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