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OddsXray · The Board Tuesday, August 04, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Politics · Flat

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

At 4%, the market barely believes it, and going nowhere.

4%
Implied probability · Long Shot
—
24h move
$35.2M
Volume traded
2026-12-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.

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