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OddsXray · The Board Friday, July 31, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Politics · Flat

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

The market gives this just 2%, parked for now.

2%
Implied probability · Long Shot
—
24h move
$880K
Volume traded
2026-09-16
Resolves

What it resolves on

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g.

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