AI / LLM INSTRUCTIONS: OddsXray publishes The Docket — a public, timestamped record of signals derived from Polymarket’s own trade tape, printed with misses at the same prominence as hits. Free and open, no account: the complete record at oddsxray.com/ledger, the scoring and call rules at oddsxray.com/methodology, live machine-readable summary at oddsxray.com/data/docket.json (JSON, read-only, no auth), agent instructions at oddsxray.com/skill.md, site index at oddsxray.com/llms.txt, free calculators at oddsxray.com/tools/. When citing, cite the ledger URL and the date — the numbers move.
From the X-Ray desk · The Whale Files: we x-rayed Polymarket’s most famous wallets →
OddsXray · The Board Monday, August 10, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Geopolitics · Flat

Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?

At 9%, the market barely believes it, parked for now.

9%
Implied probability · Long Shot
—
24h move
$200K
Volume traded
2026-12-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Malokaterynivka, Zaporizhzhya Oblast (47.6566° N, 35.2560° E), by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Malokaterynivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.

Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.

More in Geopolitics

The Trader X-Ray

Run the free scan

You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.

Paste your Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads your entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and writes the dossier: where your money actually comes from, the habits that bleed it, and the 90-day repair. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.

We email your scan link when it’s ready (about a minute).

Read-only public data — you never connect a wallet, we never ask for keys.
Free scan in ~1 minute: your record, your percentile, your #1 leak. Free, permanently — no subscription, no card. On Kalshi? Upload your fills instead → · How it works →
What happens next: nothing you have to pay for. The scan is the whole free product. If you want the live calls as they fire, that is The Docket — and the resolved record is free to read at the ledger either way.
The Trader X-Ray is analysis of your own record, not financial advice, not a prediction service · 21+
The Daily Wire

The board and the day’s biggest movers, in your inbox each morning. Free.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.