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OddsXray · The Board Wednesday, August 19, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Geopolitics · Firming Fast

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

All but in the books — 97% — and climbing fast. The crowd's voting with cash.

97%
Implied probability · Near Lock
▲ 76
24h move
$284K
Volume traded
2026-08-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.

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