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Politics · Flat
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
At 2%, the market barely believes it — holding its ground. Volume backs the move.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›2%Implied probabilityLong Shot · —/24h
$15.0M traded · resolves 2028-11-07
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
More in Politics
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You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.
Paste any Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads its entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and returns the realised number, where it sits against the field, and the single most expensive habit in it. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.
We email your scan link when it’s ready (about a minute). Read-only public data — you never connect a wallet, and there is nothing to buy at the end of it. The paid product is
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public ledger. On Kalshi?
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