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OddsXray · The Board Wednesday, August 12, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Politics · Flat

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

The market's wary: 26% — flat on the day. That's the tape, not a take.

26%
Implied probability · Unlikely
—
24h move
$200K
Volume traded
2026-08-11
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S.

Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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