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Geopolitics · Firming Fast

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?

A formality at 97% — up 29 and accelerating. It's all in the price.

97%
Implied probability · Near Lock
▲ 29
24h move
$252K
Volume traded
2026-07-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market resolves to “Yes” if Oleksandr Syrskyi’s departure as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The departure will be considered to be announced when Oleksandr Syrskyi, the President of Ukraine, the Office of the President of Ukraine, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Syrskyi has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position.

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