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Vol. I · Archived editionSaturday, July 18, 2026Archive
OddsXray
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The Board › Politics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Politics · Firming

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

The smart money treats it as done — 95%; sentiment's improving. Real money's behind it.

95%
Implied probability · Near Lock
▲ 2
24h move
$907K
Volume traded
2027-06-30
Resolves

What it resolves on

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

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