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OddsXray · The Board Saturday, August 15, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Politics · Flat

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

A dark horse at best — 9% — holding its ground.

9%
Implied probability · Long Shot
—
24h move
$17.8M
Volume traded
2028-11-07
Resolves

What it resolves on

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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