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Markets · Fading
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Anybody's call — 52% — and easing lower. Numbers don't sulk.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›52%Implied probabilityToss-Up · ▼ 5 pts/24h
$145K traded · resolves 2026-07-08
What it resolves on
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 6 12:00 PM ET to July 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtrack…
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