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Markets · Fading
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
Below even, at 18% — softening, down 2. Sharps are watching.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›18%Implied probabilityUnlikely · ▼ 2 pts/24h
$203K traded · resolves 2026-12-31
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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