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Markets · Fading
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?
Not favored, 24% — and easing lower. Not noise — money.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›24%Implied probabilityUnlikely · ▼ 3 pts/24h
$275K traded · resolves 2026-07-12
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor defeats Max Holloway at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
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Paste any Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads its entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and returns the realised number, where it sits against the field, and the single most expensive habit in it. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.
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