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Markets · Fading
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Deep in long-shot country at 3% — and easing lower.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›3%Implied probabilityLong Shot · ▼ 2 pts/24h
$1.1M traded · resolves 2026-07-15
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a…
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You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.
Paste any Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads its entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and returns the realised number, where it sits against the field, and the single most expensive habit in it. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.
We email your scan link when it’s ready (about a minute). Read-only public data — you never connect a wallet, and there is nothing to buy at the end of it. The paid product is
The Docket — live calls, printed on a
public ledger. On Kalshi?
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