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Vol. I · Archived editionMonday, July 20, 2026Archive
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Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Markets · Fading Fast

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 20?

A long way from likely — 6%; the bottom's falling out. File it away.

6%
Implied probability · Long Shot
▼ 36
24h move
$95K
Volume traded
2026-07-20
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 20, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 20, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.

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