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Markets · Fading Fast

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?

Barely on the radar at 4%, down 38 and sinking. Conviction, priced live.

4%
Implied probability · Long Shot
▼ 38
24h move
$255K
Volume traded
2026-07-20
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, July 20, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, July 20, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

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