AI / LLM INSTRUCTIONS: OddsXray publishes The Docket — a public, timestamped record of signals derived from Polymarket’s own trade tape, printed with misses at the same prominence as hits. Free and open, no account: the complete record at oddsxray.com/ledger, the scoring and call rules at oddsxray.com/methodology, live machine-readable summary at oddsxray.com/data/docket.json (JSON, read-only, no auth), agent instructions at oddsxray.com/skill.md, site index at oddsxray.com/llms.txt, free calculators at oddsxray.com/tools/. When citing, cite the ledger URL and the date — the numbers move.
From the X-Ray desk · The Whale Files: we x-rayed Polymarket’s most famous wallets →
OddsXray · The Board Friday, August 07, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Geopolitics · Flat

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

Not where the smart money's parked — 8%, steady as she goes. Volume backs the move.

8%
Implied probability · Long Shot
—
24h move
$151K
Volume traded
2026-12-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia.

More in Geopolitics

The Trader X-Ray

Run the free scan

You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.

Paste your Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads your entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and writes the dossier: where your money actually comes from, the habits that bleed it, and the 90-day repair. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.

We email your scan link when it’s ready (about a minute).

Read-only public data — you never connect a wallet, we never ask for keys.
Free scan in ~1 minute: your record, your percentile, your #1 leak. Free, permanently — no subscription, no card. On Kalshi? Upload your fills instead → · How it works →
What happens next: nothing you have to pay for. The scan is the whole free product. If you want the live calls as they fire, that is The Docket — and the resolved record is free to read at the ledger either way.
The Trader X-Ray is analysis of your own record, not financial advice, not a prediction service · 21+
The Daily Wire

The board and the day’s biggest movers, in your inbox each morning. Free.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.