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OddsXray · The Board Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The BoardPolitics
Politics · Fading

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

The crowd's skeptical: 32%; sentiment's cooling. The board clocked it.

32%
Implied probability · Unlikely
▼ 5
24h move
$948K
Volume traded
2027-01-03
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term.

Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

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