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Geopolitics · Firming Fast

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?

Practically a foregone conclusion — 96%, surging 25 points in 24 hours.

96%
Implied probability · Near Lock
▲ 25
24h move
$168K
Volume traded
2026-07-16
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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