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OddsXray · The Board Tuesday, August 04, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Geopolitics · Fading

Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?

Written off by most at 10%; sentiment's cooling. Sharps are watching.

10%
Implied probability · Long Shot
▼ 2
24h move
$61K
Volume traded
2026-08-07
Resolves

What it resolves on

On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.

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