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Sports · Firming Fast
Will Willson Contreras win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
Priced as unlikely — 19% — somebody just moved it 13 points. That's the tape, not a take.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›19%Implied probabilityUnlikely · ▲ 13 pts/24h
$137K traded · resolves 2026-07-13
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
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You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.
Paste any Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads its entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and returns the realised number, where it sits against the field, and the single most expensive habit in it. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.
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