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Vol. I · Archived editionSaturday, July 25, 2026Archive
OddsXray
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The Board › Markets
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Markets · Firming Fast

Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?

The market calls it nearly done: 95%; conviction's spiking. Conviction, priced live.

95%
Implied probability · Near Lock
▲ 84
24h move
$108K
Volume traded
2026-07-24
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen.

An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.

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