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Markets · Fading Fast
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
The market gives this just 5%, down 22 and sinking. The crowd's voting with cash.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›5%Implied probabilityLong Shot · ▼ 22 pts/24h
$371K traded · resolves 2026-07-04
What it resolves on
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/fac…
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