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OddsXray · The Board Wednesday, August 19, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Politics · Flat

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Split down the middle at 52%, steady as she goes. That's the tape, not a take.

52%
Implied probability · Toss-Up
—
24h move
$2.3M
Volume traded
2026-11-03
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.

If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.

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