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OddsXray · The Board Tuesday, August 04, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Politics · Flat

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Locked in, give or take — 86% — no real move. Conviction, priced live.

86%
Implied probability · Near Lock
—
24h move
$5.0M
Volume traded
2026-11-03
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S.

House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.

More in Politics

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