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Vol. I · Archived editionThursday, July 16, 2026Archive
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Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Markets · Firming Fast

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Down to the formalities at 86%; the money's piling in. Worth keeping an eye on.

86%
Implied probability · Near Lock
▲ 59
24h move
$236K
Volume traded
2026-12-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch.

Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.

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