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OddsXray · The Board Friday, July 31, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Markets
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Markets · Flat

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Barely on the radar at 7% — no real move. Numbers don't sulk.

7%
Implied probability · Long Shot
—
24h move
$290K
Volume traded
2026-07-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.

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