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OddsXray · The Board Friday, July 31, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Markets
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Markets · Fading Fast

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

A genuine coin-flip — 60%; the bottom's falling out.

60%
Implied probability · Toss-Up
▼ 22
24h move
$1.1M
Volume traded
2026-07-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify.

U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count.

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