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Vol. I · Archived editionTuesday, July 21, 2026Archive
OddsXray
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Politics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Politics · Fading

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Swimming upstream — 31%, losing a little support. Not noise — money.

31%
Implied probability · Unlikely
▼ 4
24h move
$1.6M
Volume traded
2027-04-30
Resolves

What it resolves on

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.

If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round.

More in Politics

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