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Geopolitics · Flat
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
At 3%, the market barely believes it; nobody's pressing. Numbers don't sulk.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›3%Implied probabilityLong Shot · —/24h
$1.8M traded
What it resolves on
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
More in Geopolitics
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