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The Board  ›  Politics
Politics · Firming Fast

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

A 50/50 in all but name — 52%, surging 15 points in 24 hours.

Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
52%
Implied probabilityToss-Up · ▲ 15 pts/24h
$889K traded · resolves 2026-06-30

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count.…

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