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Markets · Firming Fast
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
The crowd's backing it: 84%; the money's piling in.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›84%Implied probabilityLikely · ▲ 76 pts/24h
$1.9M traded · resolves 2026-07-01
What it resolves on
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as release…
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